- Dumb Luck Wins
- Tough Luck Losses
- Out Prevention Percentage
- Infield Outs Prevented
JunkStats Year In Review: 2011 In Infield Outs Prevented, Part 1 Random Page: The Transactions of the 1949 Yankees
In Part 1
For more on the Infield Outs Prevented, see this Glossary entry
To qualify for either leaderboard, a player needed 400 PAs. Links in the tables go to Baseball-Reference.
+ IFOP Leaders for 2011 Season
2011 was another great year for IFOP. Given 600 PA, the league average player would have posted an IFOP of nearly +10. The median among qualified players was +7. Here are the top 20 players.
|5||Michael Bourn||HOU ATL||722||268||6||43||7||+42|
Juan Pierre is not a stranger to the tops of these IFOP lists, though this is the first time he’s led MLB since 2006. It’s also his highest mark since that year’s +58. Last year’s leader, Ichiro, dropped all the way from +69 to +43, which is just one more symptom of his substandard 2011 season. Of course, even that substandard IFOP (his lowest on record dating back to 2006) was still good enough to tie for 3rd-best in MLB.
Coming in at number 2 is Emilio Bonifacio, who was one of the biggest surprises of 2011 in that he was actually pretty good. The speed is no surprise, though, so seeing him at #2 isn’t all that strange. Other players appearing on the leaderboard for the first time include speedy centerfielders Cameron Maybin, Peter Bourjos, Drew Stubbs, and Ben Revere. Derek Jeter made the top 20 for the first time since 2007, when he had a +24 IFOP.
There were only 8 holdovers from 2010′s top 20
Here are the 6 lowest IFOPs of 2011:
So… two catchers (no surprise) and four of the top sluggers in the game. It makes sense that guys like Cabrera, Gonzalez, and Pujols would rate poorly in a speed-dependent metric; they’re so bulky that they certainly don’t run well. Still, it is a bit of a shock to see the bottom ranks of any statistic contain so many great hitters. For Pujols, it’s the second straight year in the bottom 6 (he was at -10 last year). Also: the Cardinals were really damn slow.
Last year’s worst IFOPs belonged to Billy Butler and Derrek Lee at -15 each. Both improved dramatically in 2011, posting matching -3 marks. That’s still not good, but it’s 12 fewer outs made than last year, so it’s a big improvement.
Speaking of improvements, here are the 5 hitters who improved their IFOPs the most in 2011 (among those who qualified for the leaderboards both years):
- Casey Kotchman, up 20 (-3 to +17)
- Alcides Escobar, up 19 (+15 to +34)
- Yunel Escobar, up 18 (+5 to +23)
- Justin Upton, up 18 (-2 to +16)
- Carlos Lee, up 15 (-4 to +11)
2011 was a good year for Escobars, I guess. Aside from Alcides, all of these guys enjoyed nice bounce-back years after down 2010 seasons. Based on their offensive stats and these numbers, I’d have to think that improved conditioning played a role in these comebacks. Either that, or they just really lucked into a bunch of infield hits and ROEs. There’s a correlation, at any rate.
Next up, here are the 5 hitters whose IFOPs decreased the most in 2011:
- Ichiro, down 26 (+69 to +43)
- Crawford, down 24 (+38 to +14)
- Holliday, down 17 (+8 to -9)
- Ronny Cedeño, down 17 (+27 to +10)
- Andrus, down 17 (+41 to +24)
The top 3 are all veterans whose speed may be beginning to desert them. This has to be a big concern for their teams, who are still on the hook for huge sums of money. As for Cedeño and Andrus, I think the declines are just them returning to their accustomed levels after surprisingly high 2010 numbers.
IFO/C is the rate version of IFOP. It measures how many infield outs a player makes for every 100 balls he hits on the infield. The MLB average in 2011 was 95.7, meaning about 96 outs were made for every 100 balls hit on the infield. Lower is better, so an excellent score would be around 90 or below, and a very bad score would be above 100.
Here are the top 20 for 2011:
|6||Michael Bourn||HOU ATL||722||268||+42||84.3|
|19||Rickie Weeks||KCR LAD||515||180||+20||88.9|
This list is probably a bit more representative of a player’s speed, since it controls for the amount of balls hit on the infield. Accordingly, a lot of young(ish) guys move to the top of the list while older guys like Pierre, Ichiro, and Jeter are ranked lower compared to the IFOP list.
Four players made the IFO/C list but not the IFOP list: Will Venable, Chris Young, Rickie Weeks, and Andrew McCutchen. They replace Omar Infante, Erick Aybar, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Melky Cabrera.
Finally, here are the five lowest IFO/C marks of 2011:
Adam Dunn can add IFO/C to the already prodigious number of statistics that he ranked last in baseball this season. I like Dunn a lot, but criminy, that was an abysmal year he had. Last year, for reference, he was at an almost-average 95.9 IFO/C. So he made 10 more outs for every 100 balls he hit on the infield. Rumor has it, he also now contains Potassium Benzoate. (That’s bad.
But hey, White Sox fans, don’t fret. At least you have an experienced new manager taking over for Ozzie Guillen. Plus, the Jake Peavy trade is working out great. And your team only owes Dunn and Alex Rios $82 million through 2014. It’s all good on the South Side!
If you have any questions about IFOP, or what a particular player’s IFOP was this year, just leave a comment (or tweet me @junkstats). Thanks for reading.
Tagged with: A.J. Pierzynski Adam Dunn Adrian Gonzalez Albert Pujols Alcides Escobar Alfonso Soriano Billy Butler Cameron Maybin Carl Crawford Carlos Lee Casey Kotchman Derrek Lee Drew Stubbs Elvis Andrus Emilio Bonifacio Ichiro Juan Pierre Justin Upton Matt Holliday Michael Bourn Miguel Cabrera Peter Bourjos Ronny Cedeño Yadier Molina Yunel Escobar
This blog is devoted to the invention and use of unusual baseball statistics. These Junk Stats are designed to reveal the not-so-meaningful quirks that make baseball so fascinating.
JunkStats is written by Jacob Peterson, who also writes for the Braves blog Talking ChopBeyond the Boxscore
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