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Out Prevention Percentage is a tweak on On-Base Percentage that measures the actual number of outs a player makes. Which players did the best (and worst) at preventing outs in 2011?

The key differences between OBP and OPP are

  1. OPP does not count reaches on error (ROEs) and catcher’s interferences (XIs) as outs
  2. OPP counts double plays hit into (GIDP) as 2 outs instead of just 1.

So a player who hits into a lot of double plays (like Albert Pujols) will do worse in OPP than in OBP, while a player who hits into a lot of ROEs (like Ryan Braun) will do better in OPP. For more on what OPP is and how it is calculated, check out this glossary

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entry.

OPP+ is just a simple league-adjusted version of OPP. The MLB average OPP+ is 100, and is indexed to the league average OPP (which was .309 this year). Each point above 100 is equal to 1% above average.

Here is how each qualified hitter (min. 502 PAs) fared in OPP. Bold indicates a league-leading total (NL or AL):

Rk Player OPP OPP+ Age Tm PA H BB HBP ROE XI GDP
1 Jose Bautista
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.447 145 30 TOR
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655 155 132 6 8 0 8
2 Miguel Cabrera
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.422 137 28 DET
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688 197 108 3 6 0 24
3 Lance Berkman
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.407 132 35 STL
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587 147 92 3 4 0 7
4 Joey Votto
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.401 130 27 CIN
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719 185 110 4 9 0 20
5 Ryan Braun
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.399 129 27 MIL
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629 187 58 5 10 0 9
Prince Fielder
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.399 129 27 MIL
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692 170 107 10 6 0 17
7 Matt Kemp
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.388 126 26 LAD
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689 195 74 6 8 0 16
8 Jose Reyes
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.382 124 28 NYM
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586 181 43 0 5 0 5
9 Jacoby Ellsbury
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.381 124 27 BOS
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732 212 52 9 11 3 8
10 Alex Gordon
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.378 123 27 KCR
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690 185 67 7 9 2 9
Adrian Gonzalez
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.378 122 29 BOS
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715 213 74 6 5 0 28
12 Alex Avila
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.377 122 24 DET
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551 137 73 3 3 0 8
13 Dustin Pedroia
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.376 122 27 BOS
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731 195 86 1 5 0 12
14 Casey Kotchman
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.369 120 28 TBR
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563 153 48 12 8 0 13
Paul Konerko
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.369 120 35 CHW
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639 163 77 8 2 0 14
16 Justin Upton
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.366 119 23 ARI
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674 171 59 19 6 0 8
17 David Ortiz
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.365 118 35 BOS
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605 162 78 1 4 0 24
18 Andrew McCutchen
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.364 118 24 PIT
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678 148 89 9 8 0 7
Michael Young
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.364 118 34 TEX
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689 213 47 2 6 0 17
Hunter Pence
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.364 118 28 HOU
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/PHI
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668 190 56 1 11 0 15
Rk Player OPP OPP+ Age Tm PA H BB HBP ROE XI GDP
21 Carlos Beltran
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.363 118 34 NYM
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/SFG
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598 156 71 3 5 0 18
22 Dexter Fowler
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.361 117 25 COL
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563 128 68 6 7 0 6
23 Andre Ethier
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.359 116 29 LAD
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551 142 58 3 3 0 8
Jamey Carroll
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.359 116 37 LAD
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510 131 47 2 6 0 3
25 Victor Martinez
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.358 116 32 DET
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595 178 46 2 7 0 20
Kevin Youkilis
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.358 116 32 BOS
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517 111 68 14 6 0 14
Yunel Escobar
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.358 116 28 TOR
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590 149 61 6 9 0 14
28 Emilio Bonifacio
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.357 116 26 FLA
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641 167 59 1 6 0 4
29 Troy Tulowitzki
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.355 115 26 COL
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606 162 59 4 6 0 16
30 Shane Victorino
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.353 114 30 PHI
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586 145 55 6 5 0 4
31 Carlos Gonzalez
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.352 114 25 COL
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542 142 48 7 5 0 11
32 Carlos Pena
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.351 114 33 CHC
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606 111 101 4 3 0 6
Matt Holliday
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.351 114 31 STL
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516 132 60 8 2 0 21
Alberto Callaspo
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.351 114 28 LAA
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536 137 58 1 3 0 11
35 Evan Longoria
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.350 113 25 TBR
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574 118 80 6 8 0 11
Aramis Ramirez
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.350 113 33 CHC
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626 173 43 10 5 0 12
Nick Swisher
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.350 113 30 NYY
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635 137 95 5 3 0 18
Michael Morse
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.350 113 29 WSN
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575 158 36 13 3 0 9
39 Derek Jeter
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.349 113 37 NYY
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607 162 46 6 8 0 10
40 Rickie Weeks
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.348 113 28 MIL
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515 122 50 8 5 0 6
Rk Player OPP OPP+ Age Tm PA H BB HBP ROE XI GDP
41 Curtis Granderson
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.347 113 30 NYY
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691 153 85 12 2 0 12
Bobby Abreu
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.347 112 37 LAA
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585 127 78 1 5 0 8
43 Michael Bourn
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.346 112 28 HOU
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/ATL
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722 193 53 4 6 0 6
Ben Zobrist
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.346 112 30 TBR
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674 158 77 2 5 0 9
45 Corey Hart
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.345 112 29 MIL
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551 140 51 4 7 0 12
Billy Butler
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.345 112 25 KCR
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673 174 66 3 5 0 16
Carlos Lee
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.345 112 35 HOU
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653 161 59 3 11 0 9
48 Josh Hamilton
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.344 111 30 TEX
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538 145 39 2 7 0 8
49 Mike Stanton
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.343 111 21 FLA
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601 135 70 9 3 0 11
50 Ian Kinsler
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.340 110 29 TEX
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723 158 89 8 8 0 17
Ryan Howard
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.340 110 31 PHI
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644 141 75 7 6 0 10
52 Brandon Phillips
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.339 110 30 CIN
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675 183 44 9 7 1 15
Matthew Joyce
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.339 110 26 TBR
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522 128 49 4 3 0 7
54 Brett Gardner
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.338 110 27 NYY
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588 132 60 8 4 0 5
55 Jimmy Rollins
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.336 109 32 PHI
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631 152 58 3 8 0 9
Chipper Jones
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.336 109 39 ATL
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512 125 51 0 6 0 10
57 Chris Young
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.335 109 27 ARI
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659 134 80 4 6 0 3
Ryan Roberts
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.335 109 30 ARI
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555 120 66 2 4 0 6
Kosuke Fukudome
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.335 109 34 CHC
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/CLE
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603 139 61 4 6 0 8
60 Brian McCann
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.334 108 27 ATL
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527 126 57 2 1 0 10
Rk Player OPP OPP+ Age Tm PA H BB HBP ROE XI GDP
Seth Smith
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.334 108 28 COL
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533 135 46 4 2 0 9
Michael Cuddyer
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.334 108 32 MIN
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584 150 48 4 1 0 18
Johnny Damon
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.334 108 37 TBR
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647 152 51 7 10 0 4
Nick Markakis
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.334 108 27 BAL
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716 182 62 7 4 0 16
65 Robinson Cano
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.333 108 28 NYY
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681 188 38 12 7 0 18
Melky Cabrera
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.333 108 26 KCR
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706 201 35 1 10 0 12
Jay Bruce
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.333 108 24 CIN
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664 150 71 5 3 0 8
Gaby Sanchez
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.333 108 27 FLA
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661 152 74 6 6 0 18
69 Elvis Andrus
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.331 107 22 TEX
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665 164 56 5 12 0 17
Freddie Freeman
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.331 107 21 ATL
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635 161 53 6 5 0 15
71 Mark Teixeira
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.330 107 31 NYY
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684 146 76 11 5 0 12
Carlos Santana
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.330 107 25 CLE
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658 132 97 2 1 0 15
73 Miguel Montero
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.329 107 27 ARI
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553 139 47 8 2 0 14
Albert Pujols
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.329 107 31 STL
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651 173 61 4 5 0 29
Starlin Castro
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.329 107 21 CHC
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715 207 35 2 11 0 20
76 James Loney
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.328 106 27 LAD
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582 153 42 1 3 0 8
77 Jason Bay
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.326 106 32 NYM
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509 109 56 2 7 0 8
78 Angel Pagan
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.325 105 29 NYM
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532 125 44 1 7 0 4
Jayson Werth
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.325 105 32 WSN
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649 130 74 10 7 0 10
Josh Willingham
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.325 105 32 OAK
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563 120 56 11 2 0 6
Rk Player OPP OPP+ Age Tm PA H BB HBP ROE XI GDP
Juan Pierre
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.325 105 33 CHW
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711 178 43 7 10 0 7
Drew Stubbs
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.325 105 26 CIN
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681 147 63 7 6 0 2
83 Adrian Beltre
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.324 105 32 TEX
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525 144 25 5 9 0 13
Logan Morrison
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.324 105 23 FLA
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525 114 54 5 6 0 9
85 Peter Bourjos
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.321 104 24 LAA
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552 136 32 10 6 0 7
86 Cameron Maybin
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.320 104 24 SDP
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568 136 44 2 6 0 6
Jon Jay
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.320 104 26 STL
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503 135 28 7 2 0 11
88 Jhonny Peralta
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.319 104 29 DET
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576 157 40 2 2 0 17
Asdrubal Cabrera
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.319 103 25 CLE
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667 165 44 11 3 0 10
90 Hideki Matsui
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.318 103 37 OAK
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585 130 56 1 7 2 10
91 Neil Walker
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.317 103 25 PIT
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662 163 54 4 4 0 15
Ryan Ludwick
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.317 103 32 SDP
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/PIT
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558 116 51 4 10 5 9
93 Eric Hosmer
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.316 102 21 KCR
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563 153 34 1 3 0 13
94 Danny Espinosa
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.315 102 24 WSN
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658 135 57 19 2 0 6
95 Mitch Moreland
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.314 102 25 TEX
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512 120 39 4 7 0 9
B.J. Upton
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.314 102 26 TBR
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640 136 71 4 6 0 16
Placido Polanco
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.314 102 35 PHI
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523 130 42 3 4 0 15
98 Cliff Pennington
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.312 101 27 OAK
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570 136 42 1 4 0 5
Howie Kendrick
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.312 101 27 LAA
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583 153 33 10 4 0 18
100 Torii Hunter
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.311 101 35 LAA
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649 152 62 4 8 0 24
Rk Player OPP OPP+ Age Tm PA H BB HBP ROE XI GDP
Jeff Francoeur
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.311 101 27 KCR
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656 171 37 8 5 0 17
102 Mark Reynolds
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.310 100 27 BAL
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620 118 75 7 3 0 11
103 Edwin Encarnacion
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.309 100 28 TOR
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530 131 43 3 4 0 17
Ichiro Suzuki
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.309 100 37 SEA
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721 184 39 0 11 0 11
Yadier Molina
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.309 100 28 STL
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518 145 33 1 2 0 21
106 Dan Uggla
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.308 100 31 ATL
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672 140 62 7 7 0 9
Omar Infante
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.308 100 29 FLA
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640 160 34 2 13 0 12
108 Erick Aybar
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.307 100 27 LAA
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605 155 31 6 7 0 13
109 Adam Jones
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.306 99 25 BAL
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618 159 29 9 8 0 16
110 Austin Jackson
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.305 99 24 DET
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668 147 56 4 8 0 11
Coco Crisp
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.305 99 31 OAK
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583 140 41 1 7 0 11
Robert Andino
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.305 99 27 BAL
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511 120 41 3 6 0 14
Darwin Barney
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.305 99 25 CHC
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571 146 22 8 11 1 14
114 David DeJesus
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.304 99 31 OAK
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506 106 45 11 6 0 14
Nelson Cruz
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.304 99 30 TEX
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513 125 33 2 4 0 8
Aubrey Huff
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.304 99 34 SFG
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579 128 47 2 10 0 11
117 Kelly Johnson
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.303 98 29 ARI
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/TOR
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613 121 60 4 4 0 3
Alexei Ramirez
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.303 98 29 CHW
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684 165 51 6 4 0 19
119 Matt Wieters
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.301 98 25 BAL
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551 131 48 2 1 0 16
120 John Buck
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.300 97 30 FLA
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530 106 54 7 3 0 11
Rk Player OPP OPP+ Age Tm PA H BB HBP ROE XI GDP
Gordon Beckham
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.300 97 24 CHW
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557 115 35 13 10 0 6
122 Juan Rivera
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.298 96 32 TOR
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/LAD
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521 120 43 3 5 0 16
123 Martin Prado
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.295 96 27 ATL
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590 143 34 1 12 0 16
124 Ian Desmond
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.294 95 25 WSN
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639 148 35 4 10 0 9
125 Jason Bartlett
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.293 95 31 SDP
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618 136 48 5 5 0 13
J.J. Hardy
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.293 95 28 BAL
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567 142 31 2 1 0 10
127 Carl Crawford
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.292 95 29 BOS
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539 129 23 3 8 1 7
128 Vladimir Guerrero
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.286 93 36 BAL
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590 163 17 7 5 0 23
129 Aaron Hill
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.285 93 29 TOR
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/ARI
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571 128 35 7 3 0 10
130 Alcides Escobar
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.284 92 24 KCR
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598 139 25 4 12 0 10
Adam Lind
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.284 92 27 TOR
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542 125 32 3 6 0 12
132 Kurt Suzuki
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.283 92 27 OAK
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515 109 38 7 6 0 14
Danny Valencia
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.283 92 26 MIN
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608 139 40 0 8 0 15
134 Colby Rasmus
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.279 91 24 STL
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/TOR
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526 106 50 0 1 0 10
135 Raul Ibanez
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.278 90 39 PHI
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575 131 33 2 7 0 13
136 Mark Ellis
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.277 90 34 OAK
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/COL
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519 119 22 6 5 0 8
137 Delmon Young
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.276 90 25 MIN
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/DET
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503 127 23 2 6 0 19
138 Mark Trumbo
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.272 88 25 LAA
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573 137 25 5 6 0 17
139 Alfonso Soriano
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.268 87 35 CHC
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508 116 27 4 4 0 15
140 Casey McGehee
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.257 83 28 MIL
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600 122 45 1 5 0 19
Rk Player OPP OPP+ Age Tm PA H BB HBP ROE XI GDP
141 Yuniesky Betancourt
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.252 82 29 MIL
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584 140 16 2 5 0 16
142 Alex Gonzalez
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.250 81 34 ATL
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593 136 22 1 8 0 19
Vernon Wells
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.250 81 32 LAA
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529 110 20 1 9 0 8
144 Miguel Olivo
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.245 79 32 SEA
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507 107 20 1 3 0 7
145 Alexis Rios
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.237 77 30 CHW
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570 122 27 2 4 0 20
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com
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: View Play Index Tool Used
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Generated 11/16/2011.

It’s fascinating to see where OBP misleads us. Here are a few examples:

  • Ichiro and Yadier Molina: These two players were 39 points apart in OBP, as Ichiro was at .310 and Molina was at .349 (MLB average: .321). Yet they made outs at the same rate, as both had a .309 OPP, which is right at league average. If you look closely at the columns on the right, you can see that Ichiro had as many ROEs as double plays (11), while Molina reached on an error just twice but had 21 GIDPs. That’s a swing of 19 outs prevented, mostly due to the huge difference in speed between the two players.
  • Albert Pujols and Andrew McCutchen: These players had nearly the same above-average OBP (.366 for Pujols, .364 for McCutchen). But there was actually a huge gap in their rates of making outs. Because McCutchen reached on 8 errors and hit into just 7 double plays, his OPP (.364) was actually a bit higher than his OBP. Pujols, on the other hand, led MLB in GIDPs (with 29) and reached on just 5 errors, leaving him with a comparatively low .329 OPP. That 25-out difference explains how McCutchen can rank in a tie for 18th in OPP while Pujols is clear down in a tie for 73rd.
  • Ryan Ludwick and Edwin Encarnacion: Encarnacion has a 24-point lead in OBP (.334 to .310) but Ludwick actually leads in OPP, .317 to .309. Ludwick reached on 10 errors and 5 catchers’ interferences–which isn’t luck; he’s consistently one of the best at drawing XIs. Encarnacion reached on just 4 errors (and no XIs), plus he hit into 8 more double plays than Ludwick. That’s a difference of 19 outs.
  • Vernon Wells and Alex Rios: While Wells had the lowest OBP among qualified players (.248), it was his former teammate that posted the worst OPP (.237). Wells reached on 5 more errors than Rios and hit into 12 fewer double plays, though that couldn’t save him from the bottom of the leaderboard, as he still tied for the 3rd-worst OPP (.250).

And so on. Just keep in mind when you use OBP that, while it generally does an excellent job of estimating a player’s ability to prevent outs, it isn’t technically doing that. Some players (especially fast ones) are underrated by OBP and others (high-double-play types) are overrated by it.

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