- Dumb Luck Wins
- Tough Luck Losses
- Out Prevention Percentage
- Infield Outs Prevented
Highest Percentage of DLWs Out of Starter Wins
This leaderboard includes only pitchers with at least 7 career Dumb Luck Wins.
As usual, all links are to Baseball-Reference. This table is based on one from B-Ref’s Play Index, though I have modified it heavily and added data to suit my needs. “Starter W” is the number of wins as a starter only and since 1950. That’s why most players have a lower total than their overall career Wins.
UPDATE 10/9/11: With the 2011 season in the books, I’ve updated the list below to account for the new results. We had three players drop below the 9% threshold to fall off the list. Jake Westbrook recorded 12 starter wins and no DLWs, so he fell from 10.14% (15th) down to 8.64% (27th), just off the list. The last guy on the list pre-2011 was Doug Davis, at 9.09%, but Davis’ one win this season was enough to push him just below 9% (8.99%, to be precise), so he just misses the cut as well, coming in at 25th. Finally, Cliff Lee had no DLWs and 17 wins to drop to 8.40% and 30th.
Three new players appear on the list, however. Aaron Harang’s 2 DLWs out of 14 wins inched him onto the list in the final spot; he’s now at 9.47% (9 out of 95). Two pitchers who became eligible for the list by recording their 7th DLWs this season jumped into the top 5. Daisuke Matsuzaka had just 3 wins as a starter in 2011, but one of them was a DLW. He now has 7 DLWs out of just 49 career starter wins, good for 14.29% and 2nd place. Chris Capuano tied for the MLB lead in 2011 with 3 DLWs (out of 11 wins); he now has 7 out of 56 career wins. That puts him at 12.50%, and 4th place.
Only two other players on the list saw changes in their DLW%s after 2011. Jon Garland had 1 win, dropping his DLW% slightly. Tim Wakefield, though, recorded 2 DLWs in just 7 starter wins, moving him up a couple notches from 10.38% to 11.05%.
Here’s the updated leaderboard:
|1||Adam Eaton||10||Ind. Games||69||14.49%|
|2||Daisuke Matsuzaka||7||Ind. Games||49||14.29%|
|3||Jason Jennings||8||Ind. Games||60||13.33%|
|4||Chris Capuano||7||Ind. Games||56||12.50%|
|5||Jon Garland||16||Ind. Games||130||12.31%|
|6||Jack Morris||29||Ind. Games||251||11.55%|
|7||Bill Travers||7||Ind. Games||61||11.48%|
|8||Vicente Padilla||11||Ind. Games||97||11.34%|
|9||Rick Mahler||10||Ind. Games||89||11.24%|
|10||Jack McDowell||14||Ind. Games||126||11.11%|
|11||Tim Wakefield||21||Ind. Games||190||11.05%|
|12||Bobby Witt||15||Ind. Games||138||10.87%|
|Carl Erskine||10||Ind. Games||92||10.87%|
|14||Chuck Dobson||8||Ind. Games||74||10.81%|
|15||Jeremy Bonderman||7||Ind. Games||67||10.45%|
|16||Armando Reynoso||7||Ind. Games||68||10.29%|
|17||Eric Milton||9||Ind. Games||89||10.11%|
|18||Sterling Hitchcock||7||Ind. Games||70||10.00%|
|19||Odalis Perez||7||Ind. Games||71||9.86%|
|20||Milt Wilcox||11||Ind. Games||112||9.82%|
|21||Ramon Ortiz||8||Ind. Games||82||9.76%|
|22||Tim Leary||7||Ind. Games||73||9.59%|
|23||Gil Meche||8||Ind. Games||84||9.52%|
|24||Aaron Harang||9||Ind. Games||95||9.47%|
Is Jon Garland the new Jack Morris? Should we be preparing convoluted arguments for Garland’s HOF case now, just in case?
This blog is devoted to the invention and use of unusual baseball statistics. These Junk Stats are designed to reveal the not-so-meaningful quirks that make baseball so fascinating.
JunkStats is written by Jacob Peterson, who also writes for the Braves blog Talking ChopBeyond the Boxscore
For more about the site or the author, read the About page
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